Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 1.564756 1.943956 2.439694 3.156820 4.207297 5.761778 8.396686
2025-02-09 1.064486 1.460555 2.063956 3.123584 5.132924 9.349809 21.459911
2025-02-16 0.806333 1.171427 1.781085 2.996319 5.780849 13.690302 55.648940
2025-02-23 0.678308 1.031285 1.666730 3.081384 6.967566 22.499232 258.412121
2025-03-02 0.598164 0.944721 1.610196 3.247925 8.636069 41.096581 13590.544976
2025-03-09 0.526574 0.854389 1.513942 3.265100 9.948240 70.980393 NaN
2025-03-16 0.460342 0.759934 1.381250 3.117123 10.484826 107.136833 NaN
2025-03-23 0.426595 0.721463 1.359872 3.281952 12.923449 279.345310 NaN
2025-03-30 0.391666 0.674118 1.305328 3.317087 14.895496 809.167790 NaN
2025-04-06 0.356614 0.620976 1.224439 3.224505 15.950252 2477.488127 NaN
2025-04-13 0.328050 0.577493 1.158414 3.157607 17.237161 19991.960563 NaN
2025-04-20 0.317573 0.571147 1.185676 3.470006 23.632249 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.303414 0.555280 1.186082 3.691096 31.139017 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.283703 0.524382 1.138667 3.675160 35.631626 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.262719 0.488149 1.069323 3.520182 36.955940 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.250587 0.471129 1.052789 3.627771 46.380952 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.241744 0.460750 1.053931 3.837743 64.036733 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.229851 0.441646 1.024497 3.859473 77.297606 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.215259 0.414556 0.965494 3.672907 77.763235 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.208955 0.407225 0.968406 3.880779 113.473454 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.200407 0.393418 0.947724 3.925222 144.816793 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.190155 0.374416 0.906798 3.808215 156.168416 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.181210 0.358039 0.872514 3.723869 173.846992 NaN NaN